Foresight Challenge

Warren Bennis, former President at the University of Cincinnati and considered to be the father of leadership, wrote: “Leaders require foresight, so they can judge how the vision fits into the way the environment of the organization may evolve.” The COVID-19 crisis has made it clear that we need leaders who possess foresight in order to make good decisions for society.

To develop this skill of foresight, the Kautz-Uible Economics Institute is sponsoring the Foresight Challenge. Any current student at a university around the world is eligible to compete. Students from the University of Cincinnati are particularly encouraged to participate.

Participants in the Foresight Challenge must create an account on the superforecasting platform, Good Judgment Open. Once an account has been created, contestants will provide a forecast for topics that relate to issues of the economy, politics, and society more broadly. The winner of the Foresight Challenge will be the individual with the lowest cumulative, relative Brier Score. A contestant who does not answer any one of the questions will receive the worst possible Brier Score of 2 for that question. More details about Brier Score calculations are available here.

A financial prize is available for a University of Cincinnati student who is the overall winner of the competition. If you have any questions, please email Michael Jones at m.jones@uc.edu.

To register for the 2021 Foresight Challenge, please submit the form below.

Thanks for submitting!

2021 Foresight Challenge Questions
2020 Foresight Challenge Winners

The three winners of the 2020 Kautz-Uible Economics Institute's Foresight Challenge—Nitya Nigam (Symbiosis International), Johnathan Stefanick (University of Cincinnati), and Luke Grothaus (University of Cincinnati)—share their experience, insights, and advice.